A multi-fidelity modelling approach for airline disruption management using simulation

L. A. Rhodes-Leader*, B. L. Nelson, B. S. Onggo, D. J. Worthington

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Disruption is a serious and common problem for the airline industry. High utilisation of aircraft and airport resources mean that disruptive events can have large knock-on effects for the rest of the schedule. The airline must rearrange their schedule to reduce the impact. The focus in this paper is on the Aircraft Recovery Problem. The complexity and uncertainty involved in the industry makes this a difficult problem to solve. Many deterministic modelling approaches have been proposed, but these struggle to handle the inherent variability in the problem. This paper proposes a multi-fidelity modelling framework, enabling uncertain elements of the environment to be included within the decision making process. We combine a deterministic integer program to find initial solutions and a novel simulation optimisation procedure to improve these solutions. This allows the solutions to be evaluated whilst accounting for the uncertainty of the problem. The empirical evaluation suggests that the combination consistently finds good rescheduling options.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalJournal of the Operational Research Society
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Integer Programming
  • Multi-objective
  • Optimisation
  • Simulation
  • Transport

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Strategy and Management
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
  • Management Science and Operations Research

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