A quick assessment of input uncertainty

Bruce E. Ankenman*, Barry L. Nelson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

22 Scopus citations


'Input uncertainty' refers to the frequently unrecognized, and rarely quantified, impact of using simulation input distributions that are estimated or 'fit' to a finite sample of real-world data. In this paper we present a relatively simple method for obtaining a quick assessment of the overall effect of input uncertainty on simulation output, and a somewhat more involved follow-up analysis that can identify the largest sources of input uncertainty. Numerical illustrations of both methods are provided.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2012 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2012
StatePublished - 2012
Event2012 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2012 - Berlin, Germany
Duration: Dec 9 2012Dec 12 2012

Publication series

NameProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
ISSN (Print)0891-7736


Other2012 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2012

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Computer Science Applications


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