Application of case-crossover and case-time-control study designs in analyses of time-varying predictors of T-cell homeostasis failure

Michael F. Schneider*, Stephen J. Gange, Joseph B. Margolick, Roger Detels, Joan S. Chmiel, Charles Rinaldo, Haroutune K. Armenian

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

9 Scopus citations

Abstract

To evaluate the association of sexual behavior and recreational drug exposures with T-cell homeostasis failure (TCHF), which corresponds to the onset of a rapid decline in an individual's T lymphocyte count, which occurs on average approximately 1.75 years prior to an initial diagnosis of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). A case-crossover design and a case-time-control design, both nested within the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study of 4954 homosexual and bisexual men initiated in 1983. In the case-crossover analysis, use of both recreational drugs and hashish were found to be protective against TCHF (odds ratios ≤ 0.41), based on comparisons with four earlier control periods. However, a significant decreasing trend in the prevalence of these exposures was observed over time, thus motivating the implementation of the case-time-control design. Using the latter approach, the associations of drug use (odds ratio = 0.53; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.22, 1.28) and hashish use (odds ratio = 0.46; 95% CI: 0.20, 1.05) with TCHF were no longer statistically significant. The difference in inferences between these approaches demonstrates the importance of evaluating temporal trends in exposures when using a case-crossover design.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)137-144
Number of pages8
JournalAnnals of Epidemiology
Volume15
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 2005

Funding

Data in this manuscript were collected by the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) with centers (Principal Investigators) at The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (Joseph B. Margolick, Alvaro Muñoz), Howard Brown Health Center and Northwestern University Medical School (John Phair), University of California, Los Angeles (Roger Detels, Beth Jamieson), and University of Pittsburgh (Charles Rinaldo). The MACS is funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, with additional supplemental funding from the National Cancer Institute. UO1-AI-35042, 5-MO1-RR-00722 (GCRC), UO1-AI-35043, UO1-AI-37984, UO1-AI-35039, UO1-AI-35040, UO1-AI-37613, UO1-AI-35041. Website located at http://statepi.jhsph.edu/macs/macs.html .

Keywords

  • Biological Markers
  • Crossover Studies
  • Epidemiological Methods
  • HIV/AIDS

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Epidemiology

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