Assessing robustness regarding weather uncertainties for energy-efficiency-driven building refurbishments

Giorgia Chinazzo*, Parag Rastogi, Marilyne Andersen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

15 Scopus citations


Conventionally, building energy performance is evaluated through energy simulations using a single input weather file referring to present weather conditions. However, the analysis shown in this study demonstrates the high sensitivity of calculated energy consumption to weather files chosen for simulation. Thus, we propose that multiple present and future weather files must be incorporated as random instances of an unknown population, i.e. the climate. This paper describes a methodology to assess the robustness of different energy efficient refurbishments over possible climate projections, by taking into account uncertainties in weather files. The innovation consists in the discussion of energy outcomes in terms of ranges instead of single values.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)931-936
Number of pages6
JournalEnergy Procedia
StatePublished - Nov 1 2015
Event6th International Building Physics Conference, IBPC 2015 - Torino, Italy
Duration: Jun 14 2015Jun 17 2015


  • Climate change
  • Refurbishment
  • Robustness
  • Uncertainties
  • Weather file

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Energy(all)


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