Blood Epigenetic Age may Predict Cancer Incidence and Mortality

Yinan Zheng, Brian T. Joyce, Elena Colicino, Lei Liu, Wei Zhang, Qi Dai, Martha J. Shrubsole, Warren A. Kibbe, Tao Gao, Zhou Zhang, Nadereh Jafari, Pantel Vokonas, Joel Schwartz, Andrea A. Baccarelli, Lifang Hou*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

164 Scopus citations

Abstract

Biological measures of aging are important for understanding the health of an aging population, with epigenetics particularly promising. Previous studies found that tumor tissue is epigenetically older than its donors are chronologically. We examined whether blood δage (the discrepancy between epigenetic and chronological ages) can predict cancer incidence or mortality, thus assessing its potential as a cancer biomarker. In a prospective cohort, δage and its rate of change over time were calculated in 834 blood leukocyte samples collected from 442 participants free of cancer at blood draw. About 3-5 years before cancer onset or death, δage was associated with cancer risks in a dose-responsive manner (P = 0.02) and a one-year increase in δage was associated with cancer incidence (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.10) and mortality (HR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.07-1.28). Participants with smaller δage and decelerated epigenetic aging over time had the lowest risks of cancer incidence (P = 0.003) and mortality (P = 0.02). δage was associated with cancer incidence in a 'J-shaped' manner for subjects examined pre-2003, and with cancer mortality in a time-varying manner. We conclude that blood epigenetic age may mirror epigenetic abnormalities related to cancer development, potentially serving as a minimally invasive biomarker for cancer early detection.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)68-73
Number of pages6
JournalEBioMedicine
Volume5
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1 2016

Funding

This study was funded by the Epidemiology Research and Information Center, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; NIEHS R01-ES015172 . Additional funding support was provided by the Northwestern University Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center Rosenberg Research Fund . The funding institutions had no role in the study design, data collection or analysis, interpretation of findings, manuscript preparation, or decision to pursue peer-review publication. No author has been paid to write this article by a pharmaceutical company or other agency.

Keywords

  • Cancer risk
  • DNA methylation
  • Epigenetic age

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology

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