Comments on "Getting scarred and winning lotteries: Effects of exemplar cuing and statistical format on imagining low-probability events," by Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Jonathan J. Koehler; Laura Macchi

doi:10.1002/bdm.639

Comments on "Getting scarred and winning lotteries: Effects of exemplar cuing and statistical format on imagining low-probability events," by Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Jonathan J. Koehler, Laura Macchi

Northwestern University School of Law

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (NMH) conduct three experiments designed to test whether exemplar cuing (EC) theory or a statistical format theory provides a more accurate account for how people make judgments about low-probability events. They report finding support for the statistical format theory and little or no support for EC. However, NMH misstate the requirements for the production of exemplars in EC theory. As a result, they confuse non-exemplar conditions with exemplar conditions in their experiments, and find results that are virtually irrelevant to EC theory.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	523-527
Number of pages	5
Journal	Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
Volume	22
Issue number	5
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.639
State	Published - Dec 2009

Keywords

Exemplar cuing
Exemplars
Imaginability
Low-probability events

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Decision Sciences(all)
Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous)
Applied Psychology
Sociology and Political Science
Strategy and Management

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10.1002/bdm.639

Cite this

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abstract = "Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (NMH) conduct three experiments designed to test whether exemplar cuing (EC) theory or a statistical format theory provides a more accurate account for how people make judgments about low-probability events. They report finding support for the statistical format theory and little or no support for EC. However, NMH misstate the requirements for the production of exemplars in EC theory. As a result, they confuse non-exemplar conditions with exemplar conditions in their experiments, and find results that are virtually irrelevant to EC theory.",

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AB - Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (NMH) conduct three experiments designed to test whether exemplar cuing (EC) theory or a statistical format theory provides a more accurate account for how people make judgments about low-probability events. They report finding support for the statistical format theory and little or no support for EC. However, NMH misstate the requirements for the production of exemplars in EC theory. As a result, they confuse non-exemplar conditions with exemplar conditions in their experiments, and find results that are virtually irrelevant to EC theory.

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Comments on "Getting scarred and winning lotteries: Effects of exemplar cuing and statistical format on imagining low-probability events," by Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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