Comparison of measured and forecast traffic volumes on urban interstate highways

Joel Horowitz; Robert Emslie

doi:10.1016/0041-1647(78)90104-1

Comparison of measured and forecast traffic volumes on urban interstate highways

Joel Horowitz^*, Robert Emslie

^*Corresponding author for this work

Economics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

11 Scopus citations

Abstract

Forecasts of 1975 average daily traffic (ADT) on 78 interstate highway segments were compared with measurements of 1975 ADT on the same segments. The forecasts were made in 1968 and 1972. It was found that the 1968 and 1972 forecasts tended to over-estimate 1975 ADT by 24 and 21% respectively. Possible sources of this forecasting bias include the residual effects of the 1973-1974 gasoline shortage and errors in traffic assignment techniques.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	29-32
Number of pages	4
Journal	Transportation Research
Volume	12
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/0041-1647(78)90104-1
State	Published - Feb 1978

Access to Document

10.1016/0041-1647(78)90104-1

Cite this

@article{4fa408657e6a4028842111cb4f94e1f1,

title = "Comparison of measured and forecast traffic volumes on urban interstate highways",

abstract = "Forecasts of 1975 average daily traffic (ADT) on 78 interstate highway segments were compared with measurements of 1975 ADT on the same segments. The forecasts were made in 1968 and 1972. It was found that the 1968 and 1972 forecasts tended to over-estimate 1975 ADT by 24 and 21% respectively. Possible sources of this forecasting bias include the residual effects of the 1973-1974 gasoline shortage and errors in traffic assignment techniques.",

author = "Joel Horowitz and Robert Emslie",

year = "1978",

month = feb,

doi = "10.1016/0041-1647(78)90104-1",

language = "English (US)",

volume = "12",

pages = "29--32",

journal = "Transportation Research",

issn = "0041-1647",

number = "1",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Comparison of measured and forecast traffic volumes on urban interstate highways

AU - Horowitz, Joel

AU - Emslie, Robert

PY - 1978/2

Y1 - 1978/2

N2 - Forecasts of 1975 average daily traffic (ADT) on 78 interstate highway segments were compared with measurements of 1975 ADT on the same segments. The forecasts were made in 1968 and 1972. It was found that the 1968 and 1972 forecasts tended to over-estimate 1975 ADT by 24 and 21% respectively. Possible sources of this forecasting bias include the residual effects of the 1973-1974 gasoline shortage and errors in traffic assignment techniques.

AB - Forecasts of 1975 average daily traffic (ADT) on 78 interstate highway segments were compared with measurements of 1975 ADT on the same segments. The forecasts were made in 1968 and 1972. It was found that the 1968 and 1972 forecasts tended to over-estimate 1975 ADT by 24 and 21% respectively. Possible sources of this forecasting bias include the residual effects of the 1973-1974 gasoline shortage and errors in traffic assignment techniques.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=27344457466&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=27344457466&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/0041-1647(78)90104-1

DO - 10.1016/0041-1647(78)90104-1

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:27344457466

SN - 0041-1647

VL - 12

SP - 29

EP - 32

JO - Transportation Research

JF - Transportation Research

IS - 1

ER -

Comparison of measured and forecast traffic volumes on urban interstate highways

Abstract

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this