TY - JOUR
T1 - Computational stopping
AU - Deshmukh, Sd
N1 - Funding Information:
It is a pleasure to thank Professor Thomas Marschak for his supervision and guidance received throughout this research, which was financed by an NSF grant GS-2078.
PY - 1973/10
Y1 - 1973/10
N2 - Decision making processes usually involve time-consuming activities of collecting, processing and communicating information and computing and implementing the final decisions. Typically, if the environment does not change, the effectiveness of the final decisions improves with the amount of time spent on these activities. On the other hand, if the environment is changing with time, the final decisions will become more obsolete with longer delays, because the conditions for which they were designed will have changed. The problem of choosing optimal delays by balancing improvement against obsolescence is treated in this paper. Upon providing motivational examples the problem is formulated and illustrated, first in the single stage and then in the dynamic programming framework in two different ways. An economically interesting and informationally efficient optimal stopping policy is indicated.
AB - Decision making processes usually involve time-consuming activities of collecting, processing and communicating information and computing and implementing the final decisions. Typically, if the environment does not change, the effectiveness of the final decisions improves with the amount of time spent on these activities. On the other hand, if the environment is changing with time, the final decisions will become more obsolete with longer delays, because the conditions for which they were designed will have changed. The problem of choosing optimal delays by balancing improvement against obsolescence is treated in this paper. Upon providing motivational examples the problem is formulated and illustrated, first in the single stage and then in the dynamic programming framework in two different ways. An economically interesting and informationally efficient optimal stopping policy is indicated.
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U2 - 10.1016/0305-0483(73)90048-0
DO - 10.1016/0305-0483(73)90048-0
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:46149089335
SN - 0305-0483
VL - 1
SP - 603
EP - 611
JO - Omega
JF - Omega
IS - 5
ER -