Controlled sequential bifurcation: A new factor-screening method for discrete-event simulation

Hong Wan*, Bruce E Ankenman, Barry L Nelson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalConference article

10 Scopus citations


Screening experiments are performed to eliminate unimportant factors so that the remaining important factors can be more thoroughly studied in later experiments. Sequential bifurcation (SB) is a screening method that is well suited for simulation experiments; the challenge is to prove the "correctness" of the results. This paper proposes Controlled Sequential Bifurcation (CSB), a procedure that incorporates a two-stage hypothesis-testing approach into SB to control error and power. A detailed algorithm is given, performance is proved and an empirical evaluation is presented.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)565-573
Number of pages9
JournalWinter Simulation Conference Proceedings
StatePublished - Dec 1 2003
EventProceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Conference: Driving Innovation - New Orleans, LA, United States
Duration: Dec 7 2003Dec 10 2003

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Chemical Health and Safety
  • Applied Mathematics

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