Controlled sequential bifurcation: A new factor-screening method for discrete-event simulation

Hong Wan*, Bruce Ankenman, Barry L. Nelson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations


Screening experiments are performed to eliminate unimportant factors so that the remaining important factors can be more thoroughly studied in later experiments. Sequential bifurcation (SB) is a screening method that is well suited for simulation experiments; the challenge is to prove the "correctness" of the results. This paper proposes Controlled Sequential Bifurcation (CSB), a procedure that incorporates a two-stage hypothesis-testing approach into SB to control error and power. A detailed algorithm is given, performance is proved and an empirical evaluation is presented.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)565-573
Number of pages9
JournalWinter Simulation Conference Proceedings
StatePublished - 2003
EventProceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Conference: Driving Innovation - New Orleans, LA, United States
Duration: Dec 7 2003Dec 10 2003

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Chemical Health and Safety
  • Applied Mathematics


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