Early prognostication of overall survival for pediatric diffuse midline gliomas using MRI radiomics and machine learning: A two-center study

Background. Diffuse midline gliomas (DMG) are aggressive pediatric brain tumors that are diagnosed and monitored through MRI. We developed an automatic pipeline to segment subregions of DMG and select radiomic features that predict patient overall survival (OS). Methods. We acquired diagnostic and post-radiation therapy (RT) multisequence MRI (T1, T1ce, T2, and T2 FLAIR) and manual segmentations from 2 centers: 53 from 1 center formed the internal cohort and 16 from the other center formed the external cohort. We pretrained a deep learning model on a public adult brain tumor data set (BraTS 2021), and finetuned it to automatically segment tumor core (TC) and whole tumor (WT) volumes. PyRadiomics and sequential feature selection were used for feature extraction and selection based on the segmented volumes. Two machine learning models were trained on our internal cohort to predict patient 12-month survival from diagnosis. One model used only data obtained at diagnosis prior to any therapy (baseline study) and the other used data at both diagnosis and post-RT (post-RT study). Results. Overall survival prediction accuracy was 77% and 81% for the baseline study, and 85% and 78% for the post-RT study, for internal and external cohorts, respectively. Homogeneous WT intensity in baseline T2 FLAIR and larger post-RT TC/WT volume ratio indicate shorter OS. Conclusions. Machine learning analysis of MRI radiomics has potential to accurately and noninvasively predict which pediatric patients with DMG will survive less than 12 months from the time of diagnosis to provide patient stratification and guide therapy.