Abstract
Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in pediatric septic shock and increases morbidity and mortality. Early identification of high-risk patients can facilitate targeted intervention to improve outcomes. We previously modified the renal angina index (RAI), a validated AKI prediction tool, to improve specificity in this population (sRAI). Here, we prospectively assess sRAI performance in a separate cohort. Methods: A secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational study of children with septic shock admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit from 1/2019 to 12/2022. The primary outcome was severe AKI (≥ KDIGO Stage 2) on Day 3 (D3 severe AKI), and we compared predictive performance of the sRAI (calculated on Day 1) to the original RAI and serum creatinine elevation above baseline (D1 SCr > Baseline +). Original renal angina fulfillment (RAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 8; sepsis renal angina fulfillment (sRAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 20 or RAI 8 to < 20 with platelets < 150 × 103/µL. Results: Among 363 patients, 79 (22%) developed D3 severe AKI. One hundred forty (39%) were sRAI + , 195 (54%) RAI + , and 253 (70%) D1 SCr > Baseline +. Compared to sRAI-, sRAI + had higher risk of D3 severe AKI (RR 8.9, 95%CI 5–16, p < 0.001), kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (RR 18, 95%CI 6.6–49, p < 0.001), and mortality (RR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2–5.5, p = 0.013). sRAI predicted D3 severe AKI with an AUROC of 0.86 (95%CI 0.82–0.90), with greater specificity (74%) than D1 SCr > Baseline (36%) and RAI + (58%). On multivariable regression, sRAI + retained associations with D3 severe AKI (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 2.0–10.2, p < 0.001) and need for KRT (aOR 5.6, 95%CI 1.5–21.5, p = 0.01). Conclusions: Prediction of severe AKI in pediatric septic shock is important to improve outcomes, allocate resources, and inform enrollment in clinical trials examining potential disease-modifying therapies. The sRAI affords more accurate and specific prediction than context-free SCr elevation or the original RAI in this population.
Original language | English (US) |
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Article number | 463 |
Journal | Critical Care |
Volume | 27 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Dec 2023 |
Funding
This study was supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health (KL2TR001426; PI: Natalja L. Stanski) and the National Institute of General Medical Sciences (K23GM151444-01, PI: Natalja L. Stanski). The original study was funded by the National Institute of General Medical Sciences (R35GM126943, PIs: Hector R. Wong, Matthew N. Alder). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH.
Keywords
- Acute kidney injury
- Pediatrics
- Precision medicine
- Prediction
- Prognostic enrichment
- Sepsis
- Shock
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine