Fiscal Capacity: An Asset Pricing Perspective

Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Mindy Z. Xiaolan

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

This review revisits the literature on fiscal capacity using modern tools from asset pricing. We find that properly accounting for aggregate risk substantially reduces fiscal capacity. In this environment, the gap between the risk-free rate and the expected growth rate is not a sufficient statistic for fiscal capacity. To borrow at the risk-free rate when aggregate growth is risky, governments need to ask taxpayers to insure bondholders against aggregate risk, but governments in advanced economies tend to insure taxpayers against aggregate risk. We use this asset pricing perspective to review alternative mechanisms to boost fiscal capacity that have been explored in the literature.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)197-219
Number of pages23
JournalAnnual Review of Financial Economics
Volume15
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 1 2023

Keywords

  • convenience yield
  • debt maturity
  • Fiscal policy
  • term structure

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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