TY - JOUR
T1 - Is an automaker's road to bankruptcy paved with customers' beliefs?
AU - Hortaçsu, Ali
AU - Matvos, Gregor
AU - Shin, Chaehee
AU - Syverson, Chad
AU - Venkataraman, Sriram
PY - 2011/5
Y1 - 2011/5
N2 - We explore the role the feedback loop between firms' financial health and consumers' demand for their products plays in the auto market. We construct a simple model of an automaker making pricing and debt service (continuation) decisions while recognizing that consumers are sensitive to whether it stays in business. We show that multiple equilibria can exist in such a model, and calibrate it to match stylized facts surrounding GM's recent bankruptcy. The results suggest that while the impact of financial distress on demand substantially reduced GM's profit, bank-run-like multiple equilibria do not appear likely in this market.
AB - We explore the role the feedback loop between firms' financial health and consumers' demand for their products plays in the auto market. We construct a simple model of an automaker making pricing and debt service (continuation) decisions while recognizing that consumers are sensitive to whether it stays in business. We show that multiple equilibria can exist in such a model, and calibrate it to match stylized facts surrounding GM's recent bankruptcy. The results suggest that while the impact of financial distress on demand substantially reduced GM's profit, bank-run-like multiple equilibria do not appear likely in this market.
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U2 - 10.1257/aer.101.3.93
DO - 10.1257/aer.101.3.93
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:79958295603
SN - 0002-8282
VL - 101
SP - 93
EP - 97
JO - American Economic Review
JF - American Economic Review
IS - 3
ER -