Metamodeling for cycle time-throughput-product mix surfaces using progressive model fitting

Feng Yang*, Jingang Liu, Mustafa Tongarlak, Bruce E. Ankenman, Barry L. Nelson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

5 Scopus citations


A simulation-based methodology is proposed to map the mean of steady-state cycle time as a function of throughput and product mix for manufacturing systems. Nonlinear regression models motivated by queueing analysis are assumed for the underlying response surface. To insure efficiency and control estimation error, simulation experiments are built up sequentially using a multistage procedure to collect data for the fitting of the models. The resulting response surface is able to provide a cycle-time estimate for any throughput and any product mix, and thus allows the decision maker to instantly investigate options and trade offs regarding their production planning.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2007 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC
Number of pages9
StatePublished - 2007
Event2007 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC - Washington, DC, United States
Duration: Dec 9 2007Dec 12 2007

Publication series

NameProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
ISSN (Print)0891-7736


Other2007 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityWashington, DC

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Computer Science Applications


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