Polygenic transcriptome risk scores for COPD and lung function improve cross-ethnic portability of prediction in the NHLBI TOPMed program

TOPMed Lung Working Group

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

While polygenic risk scores (PRSs) enable early identification of genetic risk for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), predictive performance is limited when the discovery and target populations are not well matched. Hypothesizing that the biological mechanisms of disease are shared across ancestry groups, we introduce a PrediXcan-derived polygenic transcriptome risk score (PTRS) to improve cross-ethnic portability of risk prediction. We constructed the PTRS using summary statistics from application of PrediXcan on large-scale GWASs of lung function (forced expiratory volume in 1 s [FEV1] and its ratio to forced vital capacity [FEV1/FVC]) in the UK Biobank. We examined prediction performance and cross-ethnic portability of PTRS through smoking-stratified analyses both on 29,381 multi-ethnic participants from TOPMed population/family-based cohorts and on 11,771 multi-ethnic participants from TOPMed COPD-enriched studies. Analyses were carried out for two dichotomous COPD traits (moderate-to-severe and severe COPD) and two quantitative lung function traits (FEV1 and FEV1/FVC). While the proposed PTRS showed weaker associations with disease than PRS for European ancestry, the PTRS showed stronger association with COPD than PRS for African Americans (e.g., odds ratio [OR] = 1.24 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08–1.43] for PTRS versus 1.10 [0.96–1.26] for PRS among heavy smokers with ≥ 40 pack-years of smoking) for moderate-to-severe COPD. Cross-ethnic portability of the PTRS was significantly higher than the PRS (paired t test p < 2.2 × 10−16 with portability gains ranging from 5% to 28%) for both dichotomous COPD traits and across all smoking strata. Our study demonstrates the value of PTRS for improved cross-ethnic portability compared to PRS in predicting COPD risk.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)857-870
Number of pages14
JournalAmerican journal of human genetics
Volume109
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - May 5 2022

Funding

We dedicate this manuscript to our co-authors, long-time collaborators, and dear friends Dr. Debbie Ann Nickerson and Dr. L. Adrienne Cupples. Debbie was a pioneer in human genomics and advocate for diversity and inclusion in science and research. Adrienne was committed to excellence in statistical methodology and collaborative consortium-based genomic research, with major contributions to teaching and service in biostatistics. This research was supported by NIH/NHLBI R01 HL131565 (X.H. and A.M.); R01 HL153248 (A.M. and M.H.C.); R01 HL135142, R01 HL137927, R01 HL089856, and R01 HL147148 (M.H.C.); and K01-HL129039 (D.Q.). Study-specific acknowledgments are given in the supplemental information. We gratefully acknowledge the cohorts and participants who provided biological samples and data for TOPMed. The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; the National Institutes of Health; or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. A full list of authors for the NHLBI Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Consortium is provided at https://www.nhlbiwgs.org/topmed-banner-authorship. In the past three years, E.K.S. and M.H.C. have received institutional grant support from GlaxoSmithKline and Bayer. M.H.C. has received consulting and speaking fees from Illumina and AstraZeneca. B.M.P. serves on the Steering Committee of the Yale Open Data Access project funded by Johnson & Johnson. T.L. is an advisor for Variant Bio, Goldfinch Bio, and GSK. T.L. also has stock in Variant Bio. All other authors have declared no competing interests. In the past three years, E.K.S. and M.H.C. have received institutional grant support from GlaxoSmithKline and Bayer. M.H.C. has received consulting and speaking fees from Illumina and AstraZeneca. B.M.P. serves on the Steering Committee of the Yale Open Data Access project funded by Johnson & Johnson. T.L. is an advisor for Variant Bio, Goldfinch Bio, and GSK. T.L. also has stock in Variant Bio. All other authors have declared no competing interests. We dedicate this manuscript to our co-authors, long-time collaborators, and dear friends Dr. Debbie Ann Nickerson and Dr. L. Adrienne Cupples. Debbie was a pioneer in human genomics and advocate for diversity and inclusion in science and research. Adrienne was committed to excellence in statistical methodology and collaborative consortium-based genomic research, with major contributions to teaching and service in biostatistics. This research was supported by NIH / NHLBI R01 HL131565 (X.H. and A.M.); R01 HL153248 (A.M. and M.H.C.); R01 HL135142 , R01 HL137927 , R01 HL089856 , and R01 HL147148 (M.H.C.); and K01-HL129039 (D.Q.). Study-specific acknowledgments are given in the supplemental information . We gratefully acknowledge the cohorts and participants who provided biological samples and data for TOPMed. The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; the National Institutes of Health; or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. A full list of authors for the NHLBI Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Consortium is provided at https://www.nhlbiwgs.org/topmed-banner-authorship .

Keywords

  • cross-ethnic portability
  • gene expression
  • integrative analysis
  • polygenic transcriptome risk score
  • pulmonary disease
  • risk prediction

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Genetics
  • Genetics(clinical)

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