Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors

J. Abadie*, B. P. Abbott, R. Abbott, M. Abernathy, T. Accadia, F. Acernese, C. Adams, R. Adhikari, P. Ajith, B. Allen, G. Allen, E. Amador Ceron, R. S. Amin, S. B. Anderson, W. G. Anderson, F. Antonucci, S. Aoudia, M. A. Arain, M. Araya, M. Aronsson & 30 others K. G. Arun, Y. Aso, S. Aston, P. Astone, D. E. Atkinson, P. Aufmuth, C. Aulbert, S. Babak, P. Baker, G. Ballardin, S. Ballmer, D. Barker, S. Barnum, F. Barone, B. Barr, P. Barriga, L. Barsotti, M. Barsuglia, M. A. Barton, I. Bartos, R. Bassiri, M. Bastarrika, J. Bauchrowitz, Th S. Bauer, B. Behnke, M. G. Beker, M. Benacquista, A. Bertolini, J. Betzwieser, N. Beveridge

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

835 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We present an up-to-date, comprehensive summary of the rates for all types of compact binary coalescence sources detectable by the initial and advanced versions of the ground-based gravitational-wave detectors LIGO and Virgo. Astrophysical estimates for compact-binary coalescence rates depend on a number of assumptions and unknown model parameters and are still uncertain. Themost confident among these estimates are the rate predictions for coalescing binary neutron stars which are based on extrapolations from observed binary pulsars in our galaxy. These yield a likely coalescence rate of 100 Myr-1 per MilkyWay Equivalent Galaxy (MWEG), although the rate could plausibly range from 1 Myr-1 MWEG-1 to 1000 Myr-1 MWEG-1 (Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 601 L179; Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 614 L137 (erratum)). We convert coalescence rates into detection rates based on data from the LIGO S5 and Virgo VSR2 science runs and projected sensitivities for our advanced detectors. Using the detector sensitivities derived from these data, we find a likely detection rate of 0.02 per year for Initial LIGO-Virgo interferometers, with a plausible range between 2 × 10-4 and 0.2 per year. The likely binary neutron-star detection rate for the Advanced LIGO-Virgo network increases to 40 events per year, with a range between 0.4 and 400 per year.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number173001
JournalClassical and Quantum Gravity
Volume27
Issue number17
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 7 2010

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gravitational waves
coalescing
detectors
LIGO (observatory)
predictions
galaxies
binary stars
neutron stars
estimates
pulsars
extrapolation
astrophysics
interferometers
sensitivity

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Physics and Astronomy (miscellaneous)

Cite this

Abadie, J. ; Abbott, B. P. ; Abbott, R. ; Abernathy, M. ; Accadia, T. ; Acernese, F. ; Adams, C. ; Adhikari, R. ; Ajith, P. ; Allen, B. ; Allen, G. ; Amador Ceron, E. ; Amin, R. S. ; Anderson, S. B. ; Anderson, W. G. ; Antonucci, F. ; Aoudia, S. ; Arain, M. A. ; Araya, M. ; Aronsson, M. ; Arun, K. G. ; Aso, Y. ; Aston, S. ; Astone, P. ; Atkinson, D. E. ; Aufmuth, P. ; Aulbert, C. ; Babak, S. ; Baker, P. ; Ballardin, G. ; Ballmer, S. ; Barker, D. ; Barnum, S. ; Barone, F. ; Barr, B. ; Barriga, P. ; Barsotti, L. ; Barsuglia, M. ; Barton, M. A. ; Bartos, I. ; Bassiri, R. ; Bastarrika, M. ; Bauchrowitz, J. ; Bauer, Th S. ; Behnke, B. ; Beker, M. G. ; Benacquista, M. ; Bertolini, A. ; Betzwieser, J. ; Beveridge, N. / Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors. In: Classical and Quantum Gravity. 2010 ; Vol. 27, No. 17.
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title = "Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors",
abstract = "We present an up-to-date, comprehensive summary of the rates for all types of compact binary coalescence sources detectable by the initial and advanced versions of the ground-based gravitational-wave detectors LIGO and Virgo. Astrophysical estimates for compact-binary coalescence rates depend on a number of assumptions and unknown model parameters and are still uncertain. Themost confident among these estimates are the rate predictions for coalescing binary neutron stars which are based on extrapolations from observed binary pulsars in our galaxy. These yield a likely coalescence rate of 100 Myr-1 per MilkyWay Equivalent Galaxy (MWEG), although the rate could plausibly range from 1 Myr-1 MWEG-1 to 1000 Myr-1 MWEG-1 (Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 601 L179; Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 614 L137 (erratum)). We convert coalescence rates into detection rates based on data from the LIGO S5 and Virgo VSR2 science runs and projected sensitivities for our advanced detectors. Using the detector sensitivities derived from these data, we find a likely detection rate of 0.02 per year for Initial LIGO-Virgo interferometers, with a plausible range between 2 × 10-4 and 0.2 per year. The likely binary neutron-star detection rate for the Advanced LIGO-Virgo network increases to 40 events per year, with a range between 0.4 and 400 per year.",
author = "J. Abadie and Abbott, {B. P.} and R. Abbott and M. Abernathy and T. Accadia and F. Acernese and C. Adams and R. Adhikari and P. Ajith and B. Allen and G. Allen and {Amador Ceron}, E. and Amin, {R. S.} and Anderson, {S. B.} and Anderson, {W. G.} and F. Antonucci and S. Aoudia and Arain, {M. A.} and M. Araya and M. Aronsson and Arun, {K. G.} and Y. Aso and S. Aston and P. Astone and Atkinson, {D. E.} and P. Aufmuth and C. Aulbert and S. Babak and P. Baker and G. Ballardin and S. Ballmer and D. Barker and S. Barnum and F. Barone and B. Barr and P. Barriga and L. Barsotti and M. Barsuglia and Barton, {M. A.} and I. Bartos and R. Bassiri and M. Bastarrika and J. Bauchrowitz and Bauer, {Th S.} and B. Behnke and Beker, {M. G.} and M. Benacquista and A. Bertolini and J. Betzwieser and N. Beveridge",
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language = "English (US)",
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journal = "Classical and Quantum Gravity",
issn = "0264-9381",
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Abadie, J, Abbott, BP, Abbott, R, Abernathy, M, Accadia, T, Acernese, F, Adams, C, Adhikari, R, Ajith, P, Allen, B, Allen, G, Amador Ceron, E, Amin, RS, Anderson, SB, Anderson, WG, Antonucci, F, Aoudia, S, Arain, MA, Araya, M, Aronsson, M, Arun, KG, Aso, Y, Aston, S, Astone, P, Atkinson, DE, Aufmuth, P, Aulbert, C, Babak, S, Baker, P, Ballardin, G, Ballmer, S, Barker, D, Barnum, S, Barone, F, Barr, B, Barriga, P, Barsotti, L, Barsuglia, M, Barton, MA, Bartos, I, Bassiri, R, Bastarrika, M, Bauchrowitz, J, Bauer, TS, Behnke, B, Beker, MG, Benacquista, M, Bertolini, A, Betzwieser, J & Beveridge, N 2010, 'Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors', Classical and Quantum Gravity, vol. 27, no. 17, 173001. https://doi.org/10.1088/0264-9381/27/17/173001

Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors. / Abadie, J.; Abbott, B. P.; Abbott, R.; Abernathy, M.; Accadia, T.; Acernese, F.; Adams, C.; Adhikari, R.; Ajith, P.; Allen, B.; Allen, G.; Amador Ceron, E.; Amin, R. S.; Anderson, S. B.; Anderson, W. G.; Antonucci, F.; Aoudia, S.; Arain, M. A.; Araya, M.; Aronsson, M.; Arun, K. G.; Aso, Y.; Aston, S.; Astone, P.; Atkinson, D. E.; Aufmuth, P.; Aulbert, C.; Babak, S.; Baker, P.; Ballardin, G.; Ballmer, S.; Barker, D.; Barnum, S.; Barone, F.; Barr, B.; Barriga, P.; Barsotti, L.; Barsuglia, M.; Barton, M. A.; Bartos, I.; Bassiri, R.; Bastarrika, M.; Bauchrowitz, J.; Bauer, Th S.; Behnke, B.; Beker, M. G.; Benacquista, M.; Bertolini, A.; Betzwieser, J.; Beveridge, N.

In: Classical and Quantum Gravity, Vol. 27, No. 17, 173001, 07.09.2010.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

TY - JOUR

T1 - Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors

AU - Abadie, J.

AU - Abbott, B. P.

AU - Abbott, R.

AU - Abernathy, M.

AU - Accadia, T.

AU - Acernese, F.

AU - Adams, C.

AU - Adhikari, R.

AU - Ajith, P.

AU - Allen, B.

AU - Allen, G.

AU - Amador Ceron, E.

AU - Amin, R. S.

AU - Anderson, S. B.

AU - Anderson, W. G.

AU - Antonucci, F.

AU - Aoudia, S.

AU - Arain, M. A.

AU - Araya, M.

AU - Aronsson, M.

AU - Arun, K. G.

AU - Aso, Y.

AU - Aston, S.

AU - Astone, P.

AU - Atkinson, D. E.

AU - Aufmuth, P.

AU - Aulbert, C.

AU - Babak, S.

AU - Baker, P.

AU - Ballardin, G.

AU - Ballmer, S.

AU - Barker, D.

AU - Barnum, S.

AU - Barone, F.

AU - Barr, B.

AU - Barriga, P.

AU - Barsotti, L.

AU - Barsuglia, M.

AU - Barton, M. A.

AU - Bartos, I.

AU - Bassiri, R.

AU - Bastarrika, M.

AU - Bauchrowitz, J.

AU - Bauer, Th S.

AU - Behnke, B.

AU - Beker, M. G.

AU - Benacquista, M.

AU - Bertolini, A.

AU - Betzwieser, J.

AU - Beveridge, N.

PY - 2010/9/7

Y1 - 2010/9/7

N2 - We present an up-to-date, comprehensive summary of the rates for all types of compact binary coalescence sources detectable by the initial and advanced versions of the ground-based gravitational-wave detectors LIGO and Virgo. Astrophysical estimates for compact-binary coalescence rates depend on a number of assumptions and unknown model parameters and are still uncertain. Themost confident among these estimates are the rate predictions for coalescing binary neutron stars which are based on extrapolations from observed binary pulsars in our galaxy. These yield a likely coalescence rate of 100 Myr-1 per MilkyWay Equivalent Galaxy (MWEG), although the rate could plausibly range from 1 Myr-1 MWEG-1 to 1000 Myr-1 MWEG-1 (Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 601 L179; Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 614 L137 (erratum)). We convert coalescence rates into detection rates based on data from the LIGO S5 and Virgo VSR2 science runs and projected sensitivities for our advanced detectors. Using the detector sensitivities derived from these data, we find a likely detection rate of 0.02 per year for Initial LIGO-Virgo interferometers, with a plausible range between 2 × 10-4 and 0.2 per year. The likely binary neutron-star detection rate for the Advanced LIGO-Virgo network increases to 40 events per year, with a range between 0.4 and 400 per year.

AB - We present an up-to-date, comprehensive summary of the rates for all types of compact binary coalescence sources detectable by the initial and advanced versions of the ground-based gravitational-wave detectors LIGO and Virgo. Astrophysical estimates for compact-binary coalescence rates depend on a number of assumptions and unknown model parameters and are still uncertain. Themost confident among these estimates are the rate predictions for coalescing binary neutron stars which are based on extrapolations from observed binary pulsars in our galaxy. These yield a likely coalescence rate of 100 Myr-1 per MilkyWay Equivalent Galaxy (MWEG), although the rate could plausibly range from 1 Myr-1 MWEG-1 to 1000 Myr-1 MWEG-1 (Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 601 L179; Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 614 L137 (erratum)). We convert coalescence rates into detection rates based on data from the LIGO S5 and Virgo VSR2 science runs and projected sensitivities for our advanced detectors. Using the detector sensitivities derived from these data, we find a likely detection rate of 0.02 per year for Initial LIGO-Virgo interferometers, with a plausible range between 2 × 10-4 and 0.2 per year. The likely binary neutron-star detection rate for the Advanced LIGO-Virgo network increases to 40 events per year, with a range between 0.4 and 400 per year.

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U2 - 10.1088/0264-9381/27/17/173001

DO - 10.1088/0264-9381/27/17/173001

M3 - Review article

VL - 27

JO - Classical and Quantum Gravity

JF - Classical and Quantum Gravity

SN - 0264-9381

IS - 17

M1 - 173001

ER -