Abstract
The present paper introduces a jump-diffusion extension of the classical diffusion default intensity model by means of subordination in the sense of Bochner. We start from the bi-variate process (X,D) of a diffusion state variable X driving default intensity and a default indicator process D and time change it with a Levy subordinator τ .We characterize the time-changed process (X φ t ,D φ t ) = (X(Tt ),D(Tt )) as a Markovian.Ito semimartingale and show from the Doob.Meyer decomposition of Dφ that the default time in the time-changed model has a jump-diffusion or a pure jump intensity. When X is a CIR diffusion with mean-reverting drift, the default intensity of the subordinate model (SubCIR) is a jump-diffusion or a pure jump process with mean-reverting jumps in both directions that stays nonnegative. The SubCIR default intensity model is analytically tractable by means of explicitly computed eigenfunction expansions of relevant semigroups, yielding closed-form pricing of credit-sensitive securities.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 811-856 |
Number of pages | 46 |
Journal | Annals of Applied Probability |
Volume | 24 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Apr 2014 |
Funding
Keywords
- Bochner subordination
- CIR process
- Corporate bond
- Credit derivative
- Credit spread
- Default
- Default intensity
- Jump-diffusion process
- Spectral expansion
- State dependent Lévy measure
- Subordinator
- Time change
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty